Initial Evaluation of Rectal Bleeding in Young Persons: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
- James D. Lewis, MD, MSCE;
- Alphonso Brown, MD;
- A. Russell Localio, JD, MS; and
- J. Sanford Schwartz, MD
- From Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Pennsylvania Cancer Center, Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, and University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Abstract
Background: Evaluation of rectal bleeding in young patients is a frequent diagnostic challenge.
Objective: To determine the relative cost-effectiveness of alternative diagnostic strategies for young patients with rectal bleeding.
Design: Cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov model.
Data Sources: Probability estimates were based on published medical literature. Cost estimates were based on Medicare reimbursement rates and published medical literature.
Target Population: Persons 25 to 45 years of age with otherwise asymptomatic rectal bleeding.
Time Horizon: The patient's lifetime.
Perspective: Modified societal perspective.
Interventions: Diagnostic strategies included no evaluation, colonoscopy, flexible sigmoidoscopy, barium enema, anoscopy, or any feasible combination of these procedures.
Outcome Measures: Life expectancy and costs.
Results of Base-Case Analysis: For 35-year-old patients, the no-evaluation strategy yielded the least life expectancy. The incremental cost-effectiveness of flexible sigmoidoscopy compared with no evaluation or with any strategy incorporating anoscopy (followed by further evaluation if no anal disease was found on anoscopy) was less than $5300 per year of life gained. A strategy of flexible sigmoidoscopy plus barium enema yielded the greatest life expectancy, with an incremental cost of $23 918 per additional life-year gained compared with flexible sigmoidoscopy alone.
Results of Sensitivity Analysis: As patient age at presentation of rectal bleeding increased, evaluation of the entire colon became more cost-effective. The incremental cost-effectiveness of flexible sigmoidoscopy plus barium enema compared with colonoscopy was sensitive to estimates of the sensitivity of the tests. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis comparing flexible sigmoidoscopy with anoscopy followed by flexible sigmoidoscopy if needed, the middle 95th percentile of the distribution of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ranged from flexible sigmoidoscopy yielding an increased life expectancy at reduced cost to $52 158 per year of life gained (mean, $11 461 per year of life saved).
Conclusions: Evaluation of the colon of persons 25 to 45 years of age with otherwise asymptomatic rectal bleeding increases the life expectancy at a cost comparable to that of colon cancer screening.
Article and Author Information
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Grant Support: Dr. Lewis was supported in part by grant 1-K08-DK02589-0 from the National Institutes of Health.
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Requests for Single Reprints: James D. Lewis, MD, MSCE, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Blockley Hall, 9th Floor, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6021.
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Current Author Addresses: Dr. Lewis: Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Blockley Hall, 9th Floor, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6021.
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Dr. Brown: Division of Gastroenterology, University of North Carolina, 729-A Burnett–Womack Building, Chapel Hill, NC 27599.
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Dr. Schwartz: Blockley Hall, Suite 1120, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6021.
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Mr. Localio: Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Blockley Hall, 6th Floor, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6021.
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Author Contributions: Conception and design: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown, J.S. Schwartz
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Analysis and interpretation of the data: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown, A.R. Localio, J.S. Schwartz.
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Drafting of the article: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown, A.R. Localio.
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Critical revision of the article for important intellectual content: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown, A.R. Localio, J.S. Schwartz.
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Final approval of the article: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown, A.R. Localio, J.S. Schwartz.
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Provision of study materials or patients: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown.
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Statistical expertise: J.D. Lewis, A.R. Localio.
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Collection and assembly of data: J.D. Lewis, A. Brown.
- Copyright ©2004 by the American College of Physicians
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